Troina vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
GEL
1 - 1
ASD
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 0
LOC
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
USC
2 - 1
ASD
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 1
TUR
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
ACI
2 - 2
ASD
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CIT
0 - 0
ROC
52%
22%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
POR
4 - 1
CIT
63%
20%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CIT
0 - 1
NOC
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GEL
1 - 0
CIT
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CIT
0 - 1
PAL
51%
22%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |