ASD Sporting Terni vs Zagarolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 1
PIE
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 0
ASD
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 1
ARZ
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
ASD
39%
25%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ASD
3 - 3
VIT
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zagarolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ZAG
0 - 2
SPO
35%
24%
40%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PIE
0 - 1
ZAG
60%
21%
20%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ZAG
0 - 1
ASD
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ARZ
5 - 0
ZAG
82%
13%
6%
|
26 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ZAG
2 - 1
PIA
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +2 |