ASD Sporting Terni vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 2
ASD
45%
25%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 0
PON
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FLA
4 - 4
ASD
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
ORV
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 3
ASD
35%
25%
39%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SSD
3 - 1
ZAG
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 0
SSD
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SSD
3 - 2
PIE
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 2
SSD
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 4
ARZ
18%
24%
58%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |