ASD Sporting Terni vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
ASD
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 0
ACM
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SCA
0 - 0
ASD
37%
26%
38%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 0
ASD
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 0
DER
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SSD
1 - 2
FLA
53%
24%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
SSD
3 - 1
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 1
SSD
24%
25%
52%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TOD
1 - 3
SSD
59%
22%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |