ASD Sporting Terni vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ASS
3 - 1
ASD
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 2
SSD
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
ASD
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 0
ACM
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ORV
1 - 2
SSD
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ACM
0 - 1
ORV
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ORV
0 - 2
SAN
23%
27%
50%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SCA
3 - 2
ORV
49%
26%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ORV
0 - 1
DER
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |