ASD Sporting Terni vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SGP
2 - 1
ASD
54%
23%
24%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ASD
0 - 0
ORV
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
GAV
5 - 1
ASD
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ASD
3 - 2
SSD
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 3
ASD
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 0
CLZ
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
SCA
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CAS
4 - 0
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 1
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |