ASD Sporting Terni vs FiesoleCal... analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
DER
1 - 1
ASD
52%
25%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 0
ASD
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 1
VIT
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
34%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
ASD
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FiesoleCal...
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FIE
2 - 1
LAN
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 0
FIE
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FIE
4 - 0
ASD
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FIE
1 - 0
VOL
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 2
FIE
50%
24%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |