ASD Sporting Terni vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PIA
1 - 1
ASD
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 2
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FIE
2 - 2
ASD
38%
25%
38%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 2
DER
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
3 - 2
VOL
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ARZ
2 - 3
SPO
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 3
ARZ
14%
21%
64%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
7%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
ARZ
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ARZ
3 - 0
SCA
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | +1 |