ASD Sporting Terni vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
ASD
39%
25%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ASD
3 - 3
VIT
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 3
ASD
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
ASD
38%
26%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 1
PIA
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ARZ
5 - 0
ZAG
82%
13%
6%
|
59 | 26 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
ARZ
13%
20%
66%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 3
PIE
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 2
ARZ
10%
20%
71%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ARZ
4 - 0
VOL
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |