Spezia vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
24.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
CES
1 - 0
SPE
48%
28%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SPE
1 - 0
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
SPE
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SPE
1 - 3
BEN
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CTT
1 - 0
SPE
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
ACD
1 - 1
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 0
ACD
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ACD
2 - 1
ASC
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 2
ACD
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ACD
2 - 1
CES
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |