Spezia vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 0
SPE
45%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 1
FRO
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
SPE
47%
26%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PRG
2 - 1
SPE
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 0
LEC
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ACD
0 - 1
BRE
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 1
ACD
73%
19%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ACD
0 - 2
BAR
24%
27%
50%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACD
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ACD
2 - 2
BEN
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |