Spezia vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 3
SPE
40%
29%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
FRO
0 - 0
SPE
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 2
SPE
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 2
AVE
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
VIR
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 2
USA
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
TOR
5 - 0
LEO
78%
16%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 2
GER
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 1
LEO
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |