Spezia vs Trapani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 2
SPE
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 0
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 1
SPE
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 1
CES
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TER
1 - 2
SPE
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 0
LIV
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 2
TRA
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 2
CAG
26%
27%
48%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
PES
1 - 2
TRA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 1
SAL
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |