Spezia vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 0
SPE
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 2
SPE
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
PRG
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 2
SPE
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 1
LEO
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TER
2 - 0
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 1
TER
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
TER
2 - 3
LIV
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 0
TER
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TER
1 - 1
CAG
20%
28%
52%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |