Spezia vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 5
SPE
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SPE
1 - 0
REG
36%
28%
37%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPE
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SPE
0 - 2
SAS
28%
28%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
2 - 0
SPE
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
TER
3 - 1
CTT
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 2
TER
74%
18%
8%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
TER
1 - 0
CRO
30%
27%
42%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
EMP
0 - 2
TER
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TER
0 - 0
CES
30%
28%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |