Spezia vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SPE
2 - 2
EMP
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
SPE
0 - 2
PAR
37%
28%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 0
SPE
37%
29%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SPE
5 - 1
LEO
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
USF
2 - 1
SPE
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SSS
1 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SSS
0 - 2
NUO
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
NUO
2 - 1
SSS
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
SSS
3 - 1
PIA
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
PIA
2 - 1
SSS
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |