Spezia vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BV5
0 - 0
SPE
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SPE
1 - 0
ACP
64%
23%
14%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
SPE
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SPE
0 - 2
POR
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
SPE
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SIR
2 - 0
SSB
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SSB
2 - 0
PER
41%
29%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
SSB
60%
24%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SSB
0 - 1
FER
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SSB
0 - 2
TRA
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |