Spezia vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
KAY
5 - 1
SPE
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 1
TER
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TER
0 - 0
SPE
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SPE
3 - 0
LAT
65%
23%
13%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
PIS
1 - 2
SPE
44%
26%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 0
TRE
77%
15%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PIS
2 - 2
SOR
33%
27%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 1
LEO
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 0
USF
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 0
SOR
14%
24%
62%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |