Spezia vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SPE
2 - 3
USC
47%
25%
29%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
USC
0 - 0
SPE
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SPE
2 - 1
FCC
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
FCC
0 - 2
SPE
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
SPE
3 - 1
NUO
65%
20%
14%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SAL
0 - 3
SAM
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 0
SAL
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
JUS
0 - 0
SAM
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAL
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FCC
2 - 2
SAM
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |