Spezia vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPE
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
SPE
2 - 1
ALV
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
SPE
1 - 1
TRE
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
ASS
1 - 1
SPE
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 0
ABN
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
PIS
1 - 0
ASS
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 0
PIS
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
PIS
4 - 2
ARZ
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 0
PIS
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
PIS
0 - 2
REG
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |