Spezia vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
CRO
0 - 0
SPE
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
NOV
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 2
SPE
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 2
TRA
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 2
SPE
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
PES
1 - 0
CES
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 3
PES
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PES
2 - 1
COM
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TER
1 - 0
PES
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CRO
4 - 2
PES
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |