Spezia vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
25.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
BV5
0 - 0
SPE
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
SPE
3 - 0
ASS
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
SPE
4 - 1
RAV
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 1
SPE
63%
23%
14%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SPE
1 - 0
VER
20%
29%
51%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
PAG
0 - 0
COM
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
USC
2 - 0
PAG
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ACL
2 - 0
PAG
66%
22%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
PAG
1 - 2
ASS
38%
27%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SOR
1 - 0
PAG
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |