Spezia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 1
SPE
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 2
BRE
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
PES
1 - 1
SPE
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 0
NOV
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
TER
1 - 2
SPE
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 0
REG
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LAT
0 - 0
MOD
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
EMP
2 - 1
MOD
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 1
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CRO
3 - 1
MOD
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |