Spezia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
SPE
0 - 1
CHI
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CES
1 - 1
SPE
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
AVE
2 - 2
SPE
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SPE
1 - 1
BAR
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
RAV
2 - 2
SPE
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MES
2 - 1
RAV
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MES
1 - 0
AVE
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
PIA
0 - 1
MES
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
MES
1 - 2
PIS
62%
23%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CHI
4 - 1
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |