Spezia vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
TRE
1 - 1
SPE
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
SPE
1 - 2
PIA
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
FRO
4 - 2
SPE
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
SPE
0 - 0
ASC
32%
29%
40%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
TRI
0 - 0
SPE
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
LEC
0 - 0
BOL
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CHI
3 - 3
LEC
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
LEC
3 - 1
PIA
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LEC
2 - 0
AVE
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
ASC
2 - 1
LEC
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |