Spezia vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
COM
2 - 2
SPE
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
SPE
2 - 4
USC
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
SAS
0 - 1
SPE
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 1
SPE
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
SPE
0 - 0
REG
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
FRO
1 - 0
PAV
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PRO
0 - 0
FRO
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
FRO
1 - 2
ASL
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |