Spezia vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
SPE
0 - 1
PIS
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SPE
3 - 0
BV5
65%
22%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 2
SPE
21%
26%
53%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
SPE
6 - 0
USF
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SPE
3 - 0
FER
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 0
LAT
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ASA
3 - 1
FCS
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 1
TRI
34%
29%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 3
FCS
32%
29%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FCS
0 - 0
SIR
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |