Spezia vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LAZ
2 - 1
SPE
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 1
CAG
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 1
SPE
85%
11%
5%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SPE
1 - 1
BEN
46%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 0
SPE
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NAP
4 - 3
CRO
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 3
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
LAZ
3 - 2
CRO
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CRO
4 - 2
TOR
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
5 - 1
CRO
86%
10%
4%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |