Spezia vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CTT
0 - 3
SPE
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SAS
1 - 0
SPE
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
SPE
5 - 0
PRO
78%
16%
6%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
SPE
3 - 5
SAM
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
SPE
3 - 0
FER
83%
13%
4%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CRO
0 - 0
NUO
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CRO
1 - 3
SAM
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CRO
4 - 3
ARZ
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
GET
1 - 0
CRO
69%
21%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
CRO
3 - 0
USC
91%
8%
1%
|
72 | 33 | 39 | 0 |