Spezia vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPE
37%
28%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SPE
0 - 3
CAG
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TRA
5 - 1
SPE
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SPE
0 - 0
ACD
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 1
SPE
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CRO
3 - 0
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
CRO
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
CRO
3 - 1
AVE
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PES
4 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 1
BRE
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |