Spezia vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
22%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
VER
2 - 1
SPE
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 0
CTT
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
USC
2 - 0
SPE
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SPE
2 - 1
SAM
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SPE
3 - 2
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
PRG
0 - 1
CAR
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRE
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VER
4 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CTT
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
USF
4 - 2
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |