Spezia vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 4
TRA
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
ASC
3 - 0
SPE
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 2
PRG
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
SPE
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 2
CRO
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 1
ACD
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
BEN
21%
26%
53%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
NUO
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
SAL
0 - 2
BEN
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BEN
4 - 1
CTT
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |