Spezia vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 0
SPE
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPE
32%
30%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 3
PES
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 3
SPE
25%
29%
46%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SPE
2 - 1
CAR
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 2
BEN
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 2
ASC
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 1
USC
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
LIV
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PES
2 - 1
BEN
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -2 |