Spezia vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 2
GEN
32%
26%
43%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SPE
4 - 2
PRO
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 1
MOD
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 1
SPE
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 1
VIR
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
INT
4 - 0
CTT
85%
10%
5%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
SAV
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
ASC
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 0
CTT
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 2
REG
40%
26%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |