Spezia vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
23.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SSS
1 - 3
SPE
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
SPE
4 - 0
SAL
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 1
SPE
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 1
CES
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 0
ACI
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CTT
2 - 0
ACL
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 0
CTT
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
0 - 3
PAV
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
3 - 2
LIV
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
0 - 0
TER
24%
23%
53%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |