Spezia vs AC Sambonifacese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
SPE
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
SPE
3 - 0
VIL
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 2
SPE
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SPE
1 - 1
FER
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
POL
0 - 1
SPE
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
AC Sambonifacese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 5
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 2
LEO
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FSD
1 - 1
ACS
43%
24%
32%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 2
ACS
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 2
FCC
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |