Spezia vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
42%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
ABN
0 - 0
SPE
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 1
NAP
30%
30%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
FRO
2 - 2
SPE
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
SPE
1 - 0
VER
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 1
SPE
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
MAN
2 - 0
VIC
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2006 |
TRI
0 - 0
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
MAN
3 - 0
CRO
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
LEC
2 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
MAN
2 - 1
PES
53%
25%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |