Spezia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
SPE
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 4
VER
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
SPE
28%
30%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 1
CTT
54%
26%
21%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 0
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
BRE
3 - 2
CES
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 1
CES
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
CES
0 - 1
ACD
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |