Spezia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 0
SPE
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 1
MOD
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 1
SPE
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 2
BRE
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
PES
1 - 1
SPE
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
TER
59%
25%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
CES
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
CES
2 - 1
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
JUS
0 - 2
CES
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
SIE
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |