Spezia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 2
SPE
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
SPE
0 - 1
SPA
52%
27%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
REG
3 - 0
SPE
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SPE
2 - 1
RIM
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PIS
2 - 0
SPE
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CES
4 - 1
PRO
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
PAD
54%
24%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 0
CES
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CES
1 - 1
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
REG
2 - 2
CES
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |