Spezia vs Cesena analysis

Spezia Cesena
65 ELO 63
-15.4% Tilt -10.8%
184º General ELO ranking 430º
25º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
49.3%
Spezia
27.1%
Draw
23.7%
Cesena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
Spezia
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.7%
Win probability
Cesena
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Spezia
+5%
-4%
Cesena

ELO progression

Spezia
Cesena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spezia
Spezia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2003
ALZ
AlzanoCene
0 - 0
Spezia
SPE
24%
25%
51%
65 52 13 0
19 Apr. 2003
SPE
Spezia
0 - 0
Pro Patria
PRO
55%
24%
21%
65 60 5 0
13 Apr. 2003
SPE
Spezia
0 - 0
Pisa SC
PIS
53%
26%
21%
65 62 3 0
30 Mar. 2003
PAD
Padova
0 - 2
Spezia
SPE
51%
25%
25%
65 63 2 0
23 Mar. 2003
SPE
Spezia
3 - 2
Varese
VAR
59%
24%
17%
64 56 8 +1

Matches

Cesena
Cesena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2003
CES
Cesena
0 - 0
Pisa SC
PIS
53%
26%
21%
63 63 0 0
19 Apr. 2003
ACL
Lumezzane
1 - 0
Cesena
CES
42%
27%
31%
64 57 7 -1
13 Apr. 2003
CES
Cesena
2 - 0
Pistoiese
PIS
57%
24%
20%
63 58 5 +1
30 Mar. 2003
VAR
Varese
0 - 0
Cesena
CES
35%
28%
37%
63 56 7 0
24 Mar. 2003
CES
Cesena
0 - 0
SPAL
SPA
61%
23%
16%
64 59 5 -1