Spezia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ALZ
0 - 0
SPE
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SPE
0 - 0
PRO
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
SPE
0 - 0
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
PAD
0 - 2
SPE
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SPE
3 - 2
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CES
0 - 0
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ACL
1 - 0
CES
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
CES
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2003 |
CES
0 - 0
SPA
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |