Sasso Marconi vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
65.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 4
MEZ
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ROM
3 - 0
ASD
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 2
IMO
15%
18%
67%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LEN
0 - 0
ASD
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ASD
4 - 0
VFC
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FIO
3 - 1
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
PIA
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
RIM
1 - 1
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
SAN
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
COR
1 - 3
MON
33%
23%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |