Sancataldese vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
USC
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 0
SAN
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
POM
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 4
SAN
37%
26%
38%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SIC
21%
21%
58%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 2
PAL
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
REN
4 - 1
ROC
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GLA
1 - 0
ROC
28%
23%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
FCI
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
ROC
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -1 |