Sancataldese vs ASD Castrumfavara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
15º
11º
30
7º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 81 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 38 |
12º
|
2% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 30 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 27 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SSS
3 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
SIR
10%
21%
69%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
NIS
3 - 3
SAN
43%
23%
34%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
POM
72%
17%
12%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Castrumfavara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 1
SIR
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 65 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
POM
1 - 3
FAR
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FAR
2 - 0
LOC
17%
19%
65%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +5 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 1
FAR
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FAR
2 - 2
NIS
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |