San Tommaso vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
51.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Tommaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
STO
1 - 1
MDR
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
STO
1 - 2
USC
20%
20%
60%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 3
STO
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
STO
0 - 1
ACI
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
0 - 1
STO
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 0
CCI
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CCI
1 - 1
SSC
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MES
2 - 0
CCI
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CCI
2 - 4
PAL
5%
14%
81%
|
32 | 75 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FCS
3 - 0
CCI
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |