San Tommaso vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
58%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Tommaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LIC
4 - 0
STO
86%
10%
5%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
STO
2 - 1
MAR
23%
22%
56%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
STO
0 - 2
ROC
39%
23%
38%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CCI
3 - 1
STO
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MDR
2 - 2
STO
53%
21%
27%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CIT
2 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 3
CIT
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CIT
0 - 2
USC
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MES
0 - 3
CIT
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CIT
2 - 2
ACI
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |