San Luca vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
LUC
44%
22%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
LIC
2 - 0
LUC
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
USC
1 - 3
LUC
27%
23%
51%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
MES
1 - 1
LUC
58%
21%
20%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LUC
2 - 1
BIA
61%
20%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
BIA
0 - 1
GEL
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GEL
1 - 1
LIC
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GIA
0 - 1
GEL
20%
22%
58%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
GEL
0 - 1
SMC
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 0
USC
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |