ASD Sambiase vs Modica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
ASD
2 - 0
ACI
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 2
REA
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
NIS
4 - 1
ASD
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CIT
0 - 3
ASD
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ASD
0 - 1
ASD
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
MOD
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
TUR
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
HYR
1 - 2
MOD
24%
24%
51%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
NOT
31%
25%
45%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 1
MOD
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |