ASD Sambiase vs Modica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FCR
1 - 0
ASD
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ASD
1 - 1
VIG
52%
25%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
USC
0 - 0
ASD
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ASD
0 - 1
TRA
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 2
ASD
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MOD
4 - 2
VIR
49%
25%
27%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 1
MOD
64%
21%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 2
GSM
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NIS
3 - 0
MOD
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MOD
3 - 2
ACA
49%
26%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |