ASD Sambiase vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TUR
2 - 1
ASD
56%
22%
21%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 0
HYR
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 1
ASD
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 2
FOR
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 3
ASD
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUR
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
HYR
0 - 3
MAR
14%
20%
67%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
NOT
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
VAL
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |